For
the longest time futurists assured us that intelligent
machines would be commonplace by the year 2001. A vast
number of research projects in A.I. are started and finished
each year, many of them looking for the golden screw — or
algorithm
— that makes the dream come true. However, research
in psychology and brain science indicates that the key to
intelligence is unlikely to hinge on a single principle or
two. To be sure, work in cognitive science and A.I. to date
has certainly increased our understanding of various aspects
of mind. But the results are for the most part an unrelated
collection of tidbits — not
the full, holistic picture that would explain the workings
of a normal brain, animal or human. Researchers continue
to divide-and-conquer, instead of integrating, and as a result
the work has benefited far fewer real-world applications
than we would have wanted or expected, and failed to explain
to a satisfactory level how the a mind emerges from the workings
of a brain.
The future
of A.I. lies not in a golden algorithm, or two, but in various
golden combinations of highly diverse techniques and technologies.
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